Peter Hanson - top value @ 50/1Kjeldsen has  a good record hereThis weeks golf betting on the european golf tour is a chance to get some high odds picks on the card as a lot of top players congregate in Germany but what the bookies havn't taken into consideration is the jet lag and the mental tiredness most will feel after a long drawn out US open. I'll be steering away from anyone that made the cut in America last week apart from Peter Hanson who may still be riding a wave of adrenaline and for some reason is on offer at a whopping 50/1 on ladbrokes(probably won't be for much longer). Another who is overpriced due to the strength of the field is fellow scandinavian Soren Kjeldsen who knows how to win and boasts a lot of good finishes on this short course which fits his game perfectly.

FREE European tour golf betting picks:

-0.75 pts E/W Peter Hanson @ 50/1 (ladbrokes) whopping price off the back of a fantastic major
-0.75pts each way Soren Kjeldsen @ 30/1(betfred,stanjames) Course specialist - nice value
-0.75pts Alex Cjeka E/W @ 35/1 (boylesports) Home fav could be a feature this week
-0.5pts Fabricio Zanotti each way @ 100/1(general) Classy South American will grab maiden win soon
-0.5pts E/W Thomas aiken First round leader @ 80/1(stanjames) Off to a flyer in his last 2 starts on the PGA tour and European tour
-0.5pts EW Pablo Larrazabal First round leader @ 125/1 (stanjames) Massive price pick capable of shooting very low around a Euro rour course like this
last updated @ 20:04 on 24th June 09

Winning Golf Betting Tips:

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Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

Golf Player Profiles

Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022

My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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