Peter Hanson - top value @ 50/1Kjeldsen has  a good record hereThis weeks golf betting on the european golf tour is a chance to get some high odds picks on the card as a lot of top players congregate in Germany but what the bookies havn't taken into consideration is the jet lag and the mental tiredness most will feel after a long drawn out US open. I'll be steering away from anyone that made the cut in America last week apart from Peter Hanson who may still be riding a wave of adrenaline and for some reason is on offer at a whopping 50/1 on ladbrokes(probably won't be for much longer). Another who is overpriced due to the strength of the field is fellow scandinavian Soren Kjeldsen who knows how to win and boasts a lot of good finishes on this short course which fits his game perfectly.

FREE European tour golf betting picks:

-0.75 pts E/W Peter Hanson @ 50/1 (ladbrokes) whopping price off the back of a fantastic major
-0.75pts each way Soren Kjeldsen @ 30/1(betfred,stanjames) Course specialist - nice value
-0.75pts Alex Cjeka E/W @ 35/1 (boylesports) Home fav could be a feature this week
-0.5pts Fabricio Zanotti each way @ 100/1(general) Classy South American will grab maiden win soon
-0.5pts E/W Thomas aiken First round leader @ 80/1(stanjames) Off to a flyer in his last 2 starts on the PGA tour and European tour
-0.5pts EW Pablo Larrazabal First round leader @ 125/1 (stanjames) Massive price pick capable of shooting very low around a Euro rour course like this
last updated @ 20:04 on 24th June 09
Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2 from your winnings, I'd love if you Buy me a beer here, through the image, or revolut me @Bryannich

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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