International Football - Another tough 1 for Brazil

The last of the football before we wind down for the summer and once again there are some good value bets around to try and finish the season on a high note. Notable games are Brazil over in Uruguay where they will do really well to grab a win, and Ireland's game over in Bulgaria is a massive game in that group where Bulgaria must win to get back in it.

-3pts Bulgaria corner handicap (-1) vs Rep Ireland @ 11/10 (bet365) as mentioned, a must win game for Bulgaria. Expect Ireland to sit back and play for a draw as usual.

-1pt Stilian Petrov anytime goalscorer vs Ireland @ 13/2 (coral, extrabet)plays a much more advanced role for the Bulgarian national side. Also a threat from set pieces.

-1pt Ireland vs Bulgaria draw/draw half/fulltime @ 9/2 (william hill)could be a tight affair if an early goal doesn't go in

-2.5pts over 2.5 goals Uruguay vs Brazil @ 6/5 (extrabet) Should be end to end game with top strikers on show and Forlan in the form of his life

-2pts Diego Forlan anytime scorer vs Brazil @ 11/5 (general) Brazil will concede a lot of chances to Uruguay and with Forlan in this form he's likely to take 1 (or more)
-1pt Diego Forlan to score brace @ 14/1 (paddypower)
0.5pts Forlan hat-trick @ 80/1 (paddypower)

-1pt wincast - Forlan to score/Uruguay to win @ 4/1 (bluesquare, paddypower)A Uruguay win is not as unlikely as some think and if they do win, surely Folan will be on the scoresheet. Twice the odds of an outright win.


Last edited @ 16.32pm 04.06.2009
(more to follow.....)
Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2 from your winnings, I'd love if you Buy me a beer here, through the image, or revolut me @Bryannich
Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

Buy my Golf Betting Book £15.99 or 1/2 price on Kindle

<b>Buy my Golf Betting Book</b> £15.99 or 1/2 price on Kindle
Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Best for Golf Betting



Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides
  5. Who are the best sports handicappers?

    6. GOLF MAJORS 2024: The Masters - US PGA Championship - US Open - Open Championship