Smell the silverware - Double your money

Posted by Bryan N

Smell the silverware - Double your money

make or break time has arrived for UTD and Barca as their quests for a double and treble respectively draw ever closer. UTD travel to wigan tonight where they can all but wrap up the premiership and Barca take on Bilbao in the Copa del Rey final trying to get No.1 from the 3. Highly unlikely either will fail to win tonight.

- 3.5pts double - UTD win vs Wigan/Barca win vs Bilbao @ 1/1 (bet365) good price for a win exp of about 80%

-2pts over 2.5 goals Besiktas vs Fenerbache @ 11/10 (betfair)plenty of attacking talent on show, usually a lot of chances in this fixture

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2025/26) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips