Olic a hot dog in Hamburger

With prices as big as 9/4, the bookies obviously don't fancy Ivica Olic to hit the net against Bremen on Thursday night but with Bremen probably needing to score at least twice, his pace could exploit their already porous defense

-1.5pts Olic anytime scorer vs Bremen @ 9/4 (bet365) over priced

-3pts over 2.5 goals Hamburg vs Bremen @ 4/5(general)

-2pts Chelsea vs Barca over 2.5 goals @ 11/10 (general) Very attacking starting line-up from chelsea

-3pts Aston Villa corner handicap (-2.5) vs Hull @ 8/11 (william hill)Villa have bagged 11,9 and 12 corners in their last 3 home games

-1.5pts Drogba anytime scorer vs barca @ 2/1 (coral, ladbrokes) on fire, Barca have defenders missing, strong in the air too


They are the only real standout bets this midweek in the football except for a couple of over priced longshots which would be worth a small wager


-0.75pts John Carew 'to score with head' vs Hull @ 11/2 (ladbrokes)
Villa likely to get a lot of set pieces which Hull struggle with, Carew a monster in the air

-0.75pts Michael Ballack anytime scorer vs Barca @ 6/1 (williamhill) Again, a defense that can't cope with crossed and Ballack could cause trouble from set pieces
Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2 from your winnings, I'd love if you Buy me a beer here, through the image, or revolut me @Bryannich
Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

Buy my Golf Betting Book £15.99 or 1/2 price on Kindle

<b>Buy my Golf Betting Book</b> £15.99 or 1/2 price on Kindle
Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
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    6. GOLF MAJORS 2024: The Masters - US PGA Championship - US Open - Open Championship