Gomez dents Wolfsburg's title bid - Results

A game that promised goals didn't fail to deliver with Mario Gomez on fire scoring all 4 goals against a table topping Wolfsburg outfit, in a 4-1 mauling which leaves Wolfsburg now level on points with defending champions Bayern Munchen. Elsewhere, Retief Goosen got himself tied for 1st early on in the final round of the Players Championship but 2 double bogeys on 2 par 3's sent him tumbling down the leaderboard. Jim Furyk pushed himself up into the places. In Italy Bjorn and Molinari finished tied for 6th just 1 shot off the places.

weekend footy
-1.5pts spread (buy) Valencia vs real Madrid goals @ 3.18
-1.5pts spread (buy) VFB vs Wolfsburg goals @ 3.2
-1.5pts Mario Gomez anytime scorer vs Wolfsburg @ 15/8
-0.75pts spread (buy) Fulham vs Aston villa corners @ 11
-1.5pts wincast Messi to score/Barca to win vs Villarreal @ 2/1
-1pt nevland anytime scorer vs Villa @ 7/2
-1pt alvaro Negredo to score/Almeria to win vs Gijon @ 13/5
PROFIT=3.22pts

midweek footy
-1.5pts Olic anytime scorer vs Bremen @ 9/4
-3pts over 2.5 goals Hamburg vs Bremen @ 4/5
-2pts Chelsea vs Barca over 2.5 goals @ 11/10
-3pts Aston Villa corner handicap (-2.5) vs Hull @ 8/11
-1.5pts Drogba anytime scorer vs barca @ 2/1
-0.75pts John Carew 'to score with head' vs Hull @ 11/2
-0.75pts Michael Ballack anytime scorer vs Barca @ 6/1
PROFIT=3.96pts

players championship
-0.75pts Retief Goosen E/W 1/4 odds places 1-6 @ 50/1
-0.75pts E/W Sergio Garcia E/W odds 1/4 places 1-6 @ 45/1
-0.75pts E/W Jim Fuyrk odds 1/4 places 1-6 @ 45/1
-0.75pts E/W Ernie Els E/W odds 1/4 places 1-6 @ 45/1
-O.5pts E/W Pat Perez 1/4 odds E/W places 1-6 @ 125/1
-0.5pts E/W Jeff Klauk 1/4 odds places 1-6 @ 150/1
LOSS=2.5pts

BMW Italian open
-0.75pts E/W Thomas Bjorn @ 30/1
-0.75pts E/W Francesco Molinari first round leader 22/1
-2.5pts Molinari place only @ 3/1
-1pt Steven O'Hara top 20 finish @ 10/1
-0.5pts E/W Gregory Havret @ 100/1
-0.25pts E/W Ricardo Gonzalez @ 100/1
-0.5pts E/W alvaro Quiros leader at half way @ 25/1
LOSS=9pts

Tournament match bets
- 2pts Bjorn win vs Anders hansen @ 10/11
- 2pts A. Quiros win vs Jose manuel Lara @ 10/11
PROFIT=3.66pts

Total - LOSS = 0.66pts

Overall - Profit= 106.26pts
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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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