Football Season Finale - Can Chelsea do It Again?

Last week of the season around Europe with cups, titles and status still to be decided. It might be the last week but there's plenty of value to be found. Werder entertain Leverkusen in the VFB Pokal final, chelsea look to finish off the season on a high note against Everton and 5 teams in La Liga are all still struggling for their lives.

-2pts Patrik Helmes anytime scorer vs Werder Bremen @ 2/1 (coral) Bremen have 1 of the loosest defenses in Germany. Helmes will exploit them on the counter.

-1.5pts spread(buy)Bremen vs Leverkusen goals @ 2.9(sportingindex) could be high scoring affair

-2pts Bayer Leverkusen (draw no bet) win vs Bremen @ 6/5 (general) very good bet

-1.25pts Arturo Vidal anytime scorer vs Bremen @ 9/1 (coral)was sent off last week and not sure if the suspension is in place yet but if he starts, that's an absolutely ridiculous price against a porous Bremen defense.
edited @ 17.16 30th may 2009

-1.5ptspts wincast - Didier Drogba to score/Chelsea to win FA cup final @ 13/5 (bluesquare) way overpriced

-1pt Frank Lampard man of the match vs Everton @ 6/1
-0.5pts John Terry Man of the match vs Everton @ 18/1
1 of the 2 very likely barring a masterclass from 1 of the attackers or an unlikely Everton win

-1pt Frank Lampard to score from outside box vs everton @ 7/1 (paddypower) Half his goals come from outside. I'd take that price in any game

-1pt Marseille to claim French Title @ 9/1 (exchanges) not as cut and dried as the bookmakers think. They will beat Renne and with Caen fighting for their lives, Bordeaux will have their work cut out to get something there

-3pts fourfold:
Atletico win vs Almeria
Valencia win vs Bilbao
Rangers win vs Falkirk
Marseille win vs Rennes

@3.18 (betfair) not usually a multiple backer but 3 of those teams have nothing to play for while the they are massive games for the home teams in terms of European qualification and a title win. Rangers should dispose of Falkirk quite easily.

last edited @ 2.00pm 30th may 2009
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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

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Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

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Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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