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Football Season Finale - Can Chelsea do It Again?

Last week of the season around Europe with cups, titles and status still to be decided. It might be the last week but there's plenty of value to be found. Werder entertain Leverkusen in the VFB Pokal final, chelsea look to finish off the season on a high note against Everton and 5 teams in La Liga are all still struggling for their lives.

-2pts Patrik Helmes anytime scorer vs Werder Bremen @ 2/1 (coral) Bremen have 1 of the loosest defenses in Germany. Helmes will exploit them on the counter.

-1.5pts spread(buy)Bremen vs Leverkusen goals @ 2.9(sportingindex) could be high scoring affair

-2pts Bayer Leverkusen (draw no bet) win vs Bremen @ 6/5 (general) very good bet

-1.25pts Arturo Vidal anytime scorer vs Bremen @ 9/1 (coral)was sent off last week and not sure if the suspension is in place yet but if he starts, that's an absolutely ridiculous price against a porous Bremen defense.
edited @ 17.16 30th may 2009

-1.5ptspts wincast - Didier Drogba to score/Chelsea to win FA cup final @ 13/5 (bluesquare) way overpriced

-1pt Frank Lampard man of the match vs Everton @ 6/1
-0.5pts John Terry Man of the match vs Everton @ 18/1
1 of the 2 very likely barring a masterclass from 1 of the attackers or an unlikely Everton win

-1pt Frank Lampard to score from outside box vs everton @ 7/1 (paddypower) Half his goals come from outside. I'd take that price in any game

-1pt Marseille to claim French Title @ 9/1 (exchanges) not as cut and dried as the bookmakers think. They will beat Renne and with Caen fighting for their lives, Bordeaux will have their work cut out to get something there

-3pts fourfold:
Atletico win vs Almeria
Valencia win vs Bilbao
Rangers win vs Falkirk
Marseille win vs Rennes

@3.18 (betfair) not usually a multiple backer but 3 of those teams have nothing to play for while the they are massive games for the home teams in terms of European qualification and a title win. Rangers should dispose of Falkirk quite easily.

last edited @ 2.00pm 30th may 2009

Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2, you can Buy me a beer here and be auto added to members tips mailing list. Very much optional but appreciated. Cheers lads.

Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

  • European Tour (DP World)

  • OWGR.com (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips


Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides
  5. Who are the best sports handicappers?


  6. Golf majors: The Masters 2022 preview and picks - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.