NICSPICKS GOLF BETTING TIPS

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European Open - London Club

The 2nd year running at the London and Ross Fisher was on the radar but his runner up last week has made his price far too short to go near, although he might be worth backing for a fast start. Big hitters have an advantage on this wide open course which lead me towards 2 in particular.

1.5pts E/W Ross Fisher First round leader @ 18/1 (general) Out early in the morning which usually means the best of the conditions and if he continues whenre he left off last week he may hit the front early on.

0.75pts E/W Soren Hansen @ 50/1(ladbrokes,skybet)Been sneaking along mainly under the radar but signs are that he is about to strike and this is the type of course when his quality can really give him an edge

0.5pts E/W Gonzalo Fdez Castano @ 50/1 (ladbrokes,betfred) Steady Eddie this year on tour, has improved his driving and a price that big is an E/W price I'd take on him on any event with a course like The London Club

0.5pts E/W Johan Edfors @ 80/1 (general) Misleading price due to woeful performance last week but wentworth really doesnt suit his game. If he can recapture the form he showed 2 weeks ago in Ireland(where he also showed he can handle wind which is likely to be a factor here)he will be up there

-0.5pts E/W Alvaro Quiros @ 40/1 (general) Massive hitter will get alot of birdie chances here

-1 pt Marcel Siem top 20 finish @ 6/1 (totesport)
-0.5pts top 10 finish @ 18/1 (bet365) Sticking with the big hitters trend this week and there are not many further than Siem off the tee. Makes a lot of birdies but also a lot of mistakes which is why I'm staying away from an EW bet.

Last edited @ 12.45pm 27th may 2009

Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Expected strokes gained course fit (xSGF) can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form.

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


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Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

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Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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