Double Takedown - Bookies destroyed

Posted by Bryan N

Double Takedown - Bookies destroyed - Results

It's not often you back the winner of both the main golf tours in 1 weekend but this is 1 of those weeks (the last time being Kjeldsen (40/1) and Ryan Palmer (150/1) at the back end of last season), and at whopping prices of 50/1 and 55/1 in top quality fields. Just as well as it was a shocking week in the football, the worst week I can remember in a very long time but the golf has rolled in the profits all told.

Quail Hollow
-0.5pts E/W Rory sabbitini @ 40/1
-0.5pts camillo Villegas E/W @ 55/1
-0.5pts E/W Sean O Hair @ 50/1
-0.5pts E/W Pat Perez leader after 36 holes @ 80/1
-0.25pts John Merrick E/W @ 100/1
PROFIT - 27.75pts

Open De Espana
-1pt E/w Soren Kjeldsen @ 20/1
-0.5pts E/W Paul Broadhurst @ 100/1
-0.5pts E/W Thomas Levet @ 55/1
-0.5pts E/W Jamie Donaldson @ 80/1
-1pt Oscar Henningsson top 10 finish @ 17/1
-1.5pts top 20 finish @ 6/1
-Lay Thomas for 12pts @ 1.7
PROFIT - 29.98pts

Golf match betting
-2pts Hunter mahan win vs Retief Goosen @ 10/11
-2pts Chad campbell win vs Zach Johnson @ 10/11
-2pts pablo Martin win vs Pablo larrazabal @ 3/4
-2pts Thomas Levet win vs Thomas Bjorn @ 10/11
LOSS- 0.34pts

Weekend Footy
-4pts Betis vs atletico over 2.5 goals @ 8/11
-2.5pts Jermaine Defoe anytime scorer @ 11/8 VOID
-1pt brace @ 7/1 VOID
-1.5pts Raul anytime scorer vs Barca @ 2/1
-1.5pts Spurs to score 3+ goals vs WBA @ 9/4
-2.5pts over 11 corners spurs vs WBA@ 1/1
-2pts Ricardo Olivera anytime scorer vs Atletico @ 2/1 (extrabet)
-1.5pts wincast Frank Lampard to score/Chelsea to beat Fulham @ 13/5
LOSS- 8pts

Midweek Footy
-1.25pts goal spread(buy) @ 2.8 Bremen vs Hamburg
-1.25 pts Bangoura anytime scorer vs Shaktar @ VOID
-1.5pts Messi anytime scorer vs Chelsea @ 7/4
-1.5pts Ronaldo anytime scorer vs arsenal @ 17/10 (expekt) Same as above
-0.5pts Ballack anytime scorer vs Barca @ 19/2
-1.5pts Mark Viduka anytime scorer vs pompey @ 3.8
-0.5pts Viduka to score brace @ 17/1
-2pts over 2.5 goals Newcastle vs Pompey @ 2.2
LOSS- 9.75pts

TOTAL - PROFIT = 39.64pts

OVERALL TOTAL +106.92pts

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2025/26) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips