Posted by

Can Wi crack it? - Eds Byron Nelson championship

Charlie Wi has been a nearly man on the PGA Tour and has shown on numerous occasions he can stay the pace with the elite and on tough tracks, not least at the USPGA major last year, and with the TPC four seasons at Las Colinas being ranked 7/54 in difficulty last season (he had a top 10 finish here last year too) he may be good value to go well again.

-0.5pts EW Charlie Wi @ 50/1 (general) Ranked 8th in putting average and has the ball striking to contend with high winds which are likely to be a factor

-1pt E/W Justin Leonard @ 25/1 (general) Grew up around here and none better at playing in this type of wind. Great course form, should really be favourite after good outing last week.

-0.5pts E/W Scott Verplank @ 40/1 (general) Good record around here (former winner) and beginning to show signs of form this year

-1pt Harrison Frazar top 20 finish @ 8/1 (totesport) 3 top 20's this year so far and had a hand in the redesigning of this course
Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2 from your winnings, I'd love if you Buy me a beer here, through the image, or revolut me @Bryannich
Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2025/26) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Best for Golf Betting



Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides
  5. Who are the best sports handicappers?

    6. GOLF MAJORS 2024: The Masters - US PGA Championship - US Open - Open Championship