Texas Open Ratings, Rankings and Odds Chart

It's the Texas Open this week but not the usual precursor to the Masters in the form of the Houston Open. Dustin Johnson has once again withdrawn to throw the market into a bit of disarray but that's great....if you happened to get all your bets on yesterday! Scroll down for my Texas Open odds chart, rankings and ratings....


Below are my rankings and my estimation of what the true odds should be for the Texas Open, with no margin (compiled tissue to 100%). As you can see there are two very solid bets here for me with Matt Kuchar and Lanto Griffin who I have estimated at around half the available odds

New: My golf betting book "ANGLES & EDGES" is now available in print format (paperback) through the Amazon link below. Or you can order the digital eBook version from the blog here (click link)

Alert: As always you can get my weekly PGA and European Tour selections direct by email through the members mailing list - click here. It doesn't take a lot to join

Course information 

This is a gaff that's brought me a lot of good times through the years and the course fit theme is one of the best putters from ~5-20 feet. Greens here are well renowned as probably the smoothest and best for putting on tour. Ben Curtis at 150/1 when he won was picked mainly due to this course fit premium.

The model image below shows the premiums and weightings for the Oaks course at TPC San Antonio

(Click the model screenshot to use the interactive version)

Nicspicks eBook - click image for details

The weekly course fit numbers and various course key metrics can be attained each week via my course fit profiling manual   shown above. For best results on each players course fit numbers for the golf tournament in question, input the player attribute ratings from my manual.
Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2 from your winnings, I'd love if you Buy me a beer here, through the image, or revolut me @Bryannich

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Best for Golf Betting

Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides
  5. Who are the best sports handicappers?

  6. GOLF MAJORS 2024: The Masters - US PGA Championship - US Open - Open Championship